About Vaticino
Vaticino is a market of hunches: a place to forecast what will happen and to see what everyone else expects.
What it is
Any user can propose a question about a future event. Once it has been reviewed and published, everyone else places a hunch on the outcome they believe will happen. The price of each outcome is the probability the market gives it, and it moves with every hunch.
Each market seeks what people expect to happen: not what they think should happen, nor what they would like to happen.
Played with chips
Vaticino is played with chips, a virtual currency with no monetary value that cannot be exchanged for money. Every new account receives 1,000 chips. What is at stake is the credit of being right, which the leaderboards keep track of.
Chips are treated as if they were real money. Nobody receives more for running out of them, because a price is only honest when being wrong has a cost.
Who it is for
Anyone who follows the news, sport or politics and enjoys anticipating what comes next. No knowledge of finance or trading is required.
Fair markets
Every market is reviewed by Vaticino before it is published, and states from the outset the criterion that decides each outcome and the source where the result is checked. Markets are resolved by Vaticino, never by their creator, and any participant can dispute a result.
The details are in the Rules, the Resolution policy and the Claims pages.